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On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched one of the most sophisticated air campaigns in military history against Iran. We killed the Supreme Leader. We struck the nuclear sites. We declared victory.
The regime is still standing. The replacement is more hardline than the man we killed. The enriched uranium is buried in a tunnel somewhere in Iran. The agreement that ended the conflict was described by Iran’s own negotiator as a record of American failure.
We have seen this before. We saw it in Vietnam. We saw it in Lebanon. We saw it in Iraq. We saw it in Afghanistan. Every time, we won the military engagement and lost the strategic outcome. Every time, we told ourselves this one was different.
It was not different. And it will not be different the next time, either — unless we change how we make these decisions.
We Know How It Ends is a 23-chapter military and strategic analysis of America’s repeating failure in the Muslim world, written by a 22-year Army veteran, Desert Storm and OIF survivor, and former intelligence analyst who has been there and watched it happen. It covers:
This is not a partisan book. Biden failed at Abbey Gate. Trump failed in Iran. Both failures cost American lives. Both followed the same pattern: insufficient force, no plan for the day after, and a political narrative that bore no relationship to what was actually happening on the ground.
If you want to understand why we keep losing wars we win — and what it would actually take to do it right — this is the book.
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